Good W.I.L.L Hunting - Week 4 Waiver Wire

Welcome to Week 4! Every Tuesday, @TrueNorthFFB's very own Will Harris @itsharristime will be providing you with his W.I.L.L (Weekly Insights to Lead Your League). He’ll provide an in-depth positional look at the top waiver wire adds of theweek that are rostered on less than 40% of Yahoo leagues. @itsharristime will also give you three Professor Lambeau Picks just in case you cannot get the recommended waiver add for each position. To cap it off, Searching For Will Hunting, looks at a hidden gem/player that you can stash on your bench and watch blossom later in the season.

QUARTERBACK

Ryan Fitzpatrick- rostered @ 7%, Miami Dolphins

It’s usually not until late in the season that we are reaching for some “Fitzmagic.” The way that this season is going with key injuries to 49ers QB Jimmy Garropolo and Broncos QB Drew Lock, some of us are scrambling at the QB position. Fizpatrick gets the nod this week with a juicy match up versus the now high flying Seahawks.

Fitzy has been solid since a shaky start versus the Patriots in week one, putting up 24.32 f/pts vs Buffalo and 25.20 f/pts vs Jacksonville. It is clear that Fitzpatrick has “magic” with his receiving corps in Mike Gesicki, DeVante Parker and Preston Williams. This trio has been targeted 50 times through 3 games, and with the banged up Seattle secondary up next, the target volume should continue for this trio and Fitzpatrick’s fantasy product should benefit as well. The Seahawks have given up the second most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season, and with the uptempo passing attack (4th in 2019, 9th in 2020) of the Dolphins, Fitzmagic is a lock for week 4 at home.

Fitzpatrick won’t be a season long add, as he faces tough matchups vs San Francisco and Denver on the road before coming home to a tough Chargers defense. Desperate for a win in week four? Let Fitzmagic do his thing.

Professor Lambeau’s Picks

• Justin Herbert - 21%, Los Angeles Chargers

• Kirk Cousins, 26% - Minnesota Vikings

• Teddy Bridgewater, 17% - Carolina Panthers

RUNNING BACK

Jeff Wilson Jr. - rostered @ 23%, San Francisco 49ers

It’s amazing that Wilson’s rostered percentage is so low. We’ve seen what he has been able to do in a packed 49ers backfield in 2019 with 5 touchdowns on only 27 carries. That’s a touchdown rate of 18.51% on each carry - an efficiency metric that we don’t expect Wilson to replicate in 2020. However, Wilson is a must add while Raheem Mostert is out with an MCL injury.

Wilson didn’t disappoint those that added him on waivers last week rushing for 15 yards and putting up a TD on route to a 21.90 f/pt outing. It wasn’t surprising that Wilson was used as the hammer in the Redzone. What was surprising was his usage as a receiver. Wilson was target 3 times for 54 yards and a TD. This was more receiving production than all of 2019, and helped Wilson to a RB10 overall finish in week 3.

In a plus match up versus the struggling Eagles, I like Wilson to find the endzone again in week 4 and be a solid flex option while Mostert sits out.

Professor Lambeau’s Picks

• Rex Burkhead - 11%, New England Patriots

• Damien Harris - 26%, New England Patriots

• Anthony McFarland - 1%, Free Agent

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WIDE RECEIVER

Andy Isabella - rostered @ 1%, Arizona Cardinals

With many great WR options on waivers this week, it was tough to zero in on just one to feature. We saw rookie breakout performances by Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson and Brandon Aiyuk. Though all solid additions, and I wouldn’t argue against adding any of these rookies, Isabella is my preferred add this week.

Why?

He’s proven last season to be extremely efficient for fantasy purposes, producing 2.72 f/pts per target in 2019. To put that in context, that would have been second amongst all qualified WRs in 2019, only trailing the sparingly used Mecole Hardman (2.77). Though we cannot gauge that this efficiency would continue with increased usage, there is no denying that when given opportunity, Isabella made the best of it.

That’s exactly what Isabella did in Week 3 with incumbent Cardinals WR1 (pre Hopkins) sidelined with a groin injury. He caught 4 passes for 47 yards and 2 TDs en route 20.10 f/pts. Why do I like Isabella more than the rookies? Isabella has two years under Kingsbury and playing with QB Kyler Murray. This rapport and playing on a Cardinals team that has thrown at the 7th highest rate in 2020, has me higher on Isabella, and, with Kirk still questionable against the Panthers, he is a must add for WR needy teams.

Professor Lambeau’s Picks

• Justin Jefferson- 30%, Minnesota Vikings

• Tee Higgins - 5%, Cincinnati Bengals

• Brandon Aiyuk - 27%, San Francisco 49ers

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TIGHT END

Mo Alie-Cox - 9%, Indianapolis Colts

There are two things that have held true in the Phillip Rivers experiment (or experience?) in Indianapolis so far:

1. He still has a lot of kids

2. Rivers likes to target his tight ends

Many believed that Jack Doyle would be the main beneficiary to the Phillip Rivers Experience, and while healthy in Week 1, he saw 4 targets and action in the Redzone. Even before going down with an ankle injury in that game vs Jacksonville, Alie-Cox was already starting to see work.

With Doyle officially out in week 2, and with Trey Burton still on IR, Alie-Cox saw his snap share increase from 36.8% to 67.7%, which was the highest in the TEs three year career. In week 3 against the Jets, his snap share continued to increase, and was targeted 3 times for 50 yds and a TD for 14 f/pts on the week which was good for TE6 on the day.

Doyle was dressed for this game seeing 32 snaps. Let’s face it, the more athletic Mo Alie-Cox offers more in YAC ability and is a more dynamic receiver than the sturdy Jack Doyle. With the injuries mounting up for the Indy WR corps (Campbell, Pittman) and Alie-Cox having a clear rapport with TE lover Phillip Rivers, I’m liking Alie-Cox as a great streaming option this week vs Chicago. The former basketball star could be a legitimate season long option for your fantasy squads.

Professor Lambeau’s Picks

• Greg Olsen - 11%, Seattle Seahawks

• Eric Ebron - 27%, Pittsburgh Steelers

• Dalton Schultz- 31%, Dallas Cowboys

HOW ABOUT DEM' APPLES

Jeff Driskel, QB, Denver Broncos - 11.44 f/pts, 176 Yds, 1 TDs

Mike Davis, RB, Seattle Seahawks - 23.10 f/pts, 91 Yds, 1 TD

Russel Gage*, WR, Atlanta Falcons - 4.60 f/pts, 26 Yds, 2 receptions

Drew Sample, TE, Cincinnati Bengals - 1.1 f/pts, 1 target,1 Yd

*Gage went down in the first half with an upper body injury

Thank you for reading my waiver wire article. Make sure to come back next week and please leave a comment or message me on Twitter @itsharristime

Edited by: Joe Simonetti (@joesimonetti77)

Graphic work: Dan Made Graphics (@DanMadeGraphics)