Good W.I.L.L Hunting - Week 10 Waiver Wire
Every Tuesday, @TrueNorthFFB's very own Will Harris @itsharristime will be providing you with his W.I.L.L (Weekly Insights to Lead Your League). He’ll provide an in-depth positional look at the top waiver wire adds of theweek that are rostered on less than 40% of Yahoo leagues. @itsharristime will also give you three Professor Lambeau Picks just in case you cannot get the recommended waiver add for each position. How Bout Dem’ Apples looks at the stat lines of last week’s waiver wire insights and how @itsharristime fared.
QUARTERBACK
Tua Tagovailoa- rostered @ 25%, Miami Dolphins
We talked about Tua as a bench stash when it was announced that he would be taking over the starting role in Miami before their bye week. Tua’s first week under centre against the Rams was a defensive battle and Tua did what he had to do to pull out a win.
It was in his second start against the Cardinals that we saw Tua unleashed. Tua was in a back and forth battle with burgeoning Cardinals QB superstar Kyler Murray, that resulted in a stunning 34-31 win for the Dolphins. The passing volume seems to be down for the Dolphins, but Tua made the best of his passes going 20/28 on the day for 248 and 2 TDs (21.42 f/pts). Tua’s hip looked fine as he rushed for 35 yards on the ground, and rushing ability will make Tua a weekly threat to finish with over 20+ fantasy points.
With Tua poised to take on fellow rookie QB phenom Justin Herbert and his Chargers this week, you’ve got to like Tua as the top QB add. He could possibly be your starter for the rest of season with upcoming matches against Denver, New York Jets, Cincinnati, Kansas City, New England and Las Vegas. Tua could help push the Dolphins and your fantasy team to be playoff contenders.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
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Drew Lock, 20%, Denver Broncos
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Daniel Jones, 30%, New York Giants
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Baker Mayfield, 33% - Cleveland Browns
RUNNING BACK
Duke Johnson Jr - rostered @17%, Houston Texans
Many of us have been beating the #freedukey drum since his days in Cleveland, and this Duke fan has certainly been at the front of that movement. Duke Johnson has been the most efficient running back in the NFL for the past five years. Puzzlingly given low volume on not one but two teams (Cleveland, Houston), Duke has continued to produce when given touches.
Since 2016, Duke has a 4.5 YPC, which would have him ranked as a top ten back in this efficiency metric. In 2019, playing second fiddle to grinder back Carlos Hyde in Houston, Duke continued his hyper efficiency with a 4.6 YPC and was #2 in the league with a 6.5 Yards Per Touch while being a threat in the open field being ranked #4 in Breakaway Run Rate. Simply put, Duke is damn good when given the ball.
With David Johnson being put into concussion protocol against the Jaguars, we are unsure of when he will return. Duke ended the game with 41 rushing yards,, a TD and 32 receiving yards, which was good for 15.30 f/pts.
Don’t be tempted by the shiny Adam Gase-less Kalen Ballage of the Chargers. You want to bank on Duke Johnson’s proven track record and I’m 100% committing and buying into the Duke revenge game narrative against the Cleveland Browns who have been run on with stellar performances by JK Dobbins, James Conner and Josh Jacobs.
Let’s just let Duke be a thing, ok Bill O’Brien?
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
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Kalen Ballage- 1%, Los Angeles Chargers
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Wayne Gallman Jr, 25%, New York Giants
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Matt Breida- 25%, Miami Dolphins
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WIDE RECEIVER
Jakboi Meyers - rostered @ 13%, New England Patriots
Fantasy football doesn’t need to be complex. Case and point is Jakobi Meyers. He is the the top add for WR needy teams.
Richie James is nice. I get it. He was WR1 last week with 33.40 f/pts but what does his floor look like when Jordan Reed is fully healthy and Deebo Samuel and Brando Aiyuk return from injury?
It’s nothing compared to the floor play that New England WR1 Jakobi Meyers will give you week to week. Meyers was on my radar before his boom week against the lowly Jets having commanded 6 and 10 targets the previous two weeks against San Francisco and Buffalo. He’s been Cam’s #1 target, and against the Jets this continued with 14 targets. Meyers nabbed 12 of these targets for 149 Yds enroute to 28.9 f/pts. This type of target floor for a WR is fantasy football gold, and if Cam continues throwing the ball to Meyers, WR1 numbers for the rest of the season is within his range of outcomes.
Meyers has a tough matchup against the Ravens in Week 10, but given his floor play and ROS schedule (Houston, Arizona, Rams, Chargers, Miami, Buffalo) he’s my number one add of the week. It was tough not going with do-it-all Panthers WR Curtis Samuel who should be firmly your #2 WR add this week after Meyers.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
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Curtis Samuel - 31%, Carolina Panthers
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Richie James- 2%, San Francisco 49ers
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Gabriel Davis - 1%, Buffalo Bills
TIGHT END
Irv Smith Jr.- rostered @7%, Minnesota Vikings
To say that fellow Truth Norther @goldjacketqbs had a man crush on sophomore Vikings TE Irv Smith Jr might be the understatement of the year.
Jim has trumped Irv as the next big thing at TE. I trust Jim, who not only is a top notch analyst, but has got to watch two GOAT TEs in Tony Gonzalez and Travis Kelce as a die hard Chiefs fan. I have not been sold leading up into this season, but this is the norm with rookie TEs. They are best to pass on in season one, and then zero in on them mid season the following year.
Case and point has been Irv who had impressive measurables and college production when the Vikings drafted him in the 3rd round of the 2019 draft. With Kyle Rudolph the clear incumbent, Irv showed flashes up the seam in year one with his athletic ability. Now midway through season two, Irv could be looked to as a solid option down the stretch as the TE landscape is particularly barren in 2020. Irv has already put up three games with over 10 f/pts, and seems to be making good work of the opportunities given (targets of 5,5,1 and 4 over the last 4 weeks). Last week, they went to him in the red zone for 2 TDs, and, if this red zone work continues, Irv becomes a threat all over the field. Sorry/not sorry Kyle Rudolph.
With a tough matchup against the Bears this weekend, the rest of the season provides plus matchups for the Vikings pass game and for Irv.
Check this out for plum:
*chart from Pro Football Focuses Strength of Schedule Article
Also note, that Austin Hooper is only rostered on 42% of teams and with Odell Beckham Jr. out rest of season, and Cleveland being a TE heavy passing team, he’s a great add if available.
Professor Lambeau’s Picks
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Dalton Schultz - 21%, Dallas Cowboys
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Gerald Everett - 4%, Los Angeles Rams
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Ross Dwelley. - 8%, San Francisco 49ers
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HOW ABOUT DEM' APPLES
Drew Lock, QB, Denver Broncos- 30.22 f/pts, 313 Yds, 2 TDs
Wayne Gallman, RB, New York Giants- 14.70 f/pts, 68 Yds, 1 Ru TD
Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears - 9.30 f/pts, 43 Yds, 5 receptions
Jordan Reed, TE, San Francisco 49ers- 1.30 f/pts, 3 Yds, 1 reception
Thank you for reading my waiver wire article. Make sure to come back next week and please leave a comment or message me on Twitter @itsharristime
Editor: Joe Simonetti (@joesimonetti77)
Graphic work: Dan Made Graphics (@DanMadeGraphics)